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Auto insurance rates rose significantly over the last few years (52% in the last 24 months alone.) However, most of that increase happened in 2023, and rates have largely flattened in 2024. This is good news for dealers and consumers and throws cold water on the narrative in the media this year that insurance rates are continuing to rise.

Yes, average quotes are still up from last year (9.2%), but they have remained relatively steady over the last four quarters. It seems carrier rate requests and Department of Insurance decisions have largely taken effect.

These findings provide some hope that insurance rates will remain steady, and not rise, for the next few quarters.

Steady rates give consumers a clearer picture of their total budget when headed to the dealership, and dealers will see fewer insurance surprises when closing deals.

Bar chart: average monthly insurance quote rising from $131 in Q3 2022 to $200 in Q2 2024, then $199 in Q3 2024

View the data behind this chart
Average monthly insurance quote, Q3 2022 to Q3 2024
QuarterAverage monthly quote
Q3 2022$131
Q4 2022$139
Q1 2023$140
Q2 2023$158
Q3 2023$182
Q4 2023$193
Q1 2024$195
Q2 2024$200
Q3 2024$199

From Polly’s Q3 2024 Quarterly Embedded Auto Insurance Report.

Insurance Rates are Plateauing

$199 per month: Q3 2024 average insurance quote

View the data behind this chart
Average monthly insurance quote, Q3 2024
PeriodAverage monthly quote
Q3 2024 average$199

From Polly’s Q3 2024 Quarterly Embedded Auto Insurance Report.

The average quoted insurance rate for the past quarter is $199/month.

This is 0.4% down from the prior quarter of $200, indicating that insurance rates may have finally peaked during the car buying process.

The current price of insurance is still historically high, which is driving consumer shopping behavior. The latest JD Power data* shows that 49% of auto insurance customers were shopping around in Q1 of this year.

The higher cost of insurance is having a negative impact on consumer spending in the dealership. Until consumers realize that rates have steadied, we expect more shopping, which is an opportunity for dealers who can present competitive quotes and even savings during the car buying process.

*https://www.jdpower.com/business/press-releases/2024-us-insurance-shopping-study

Insurance Opportunity Keeps Improving

The embedded opportunity continues to improve for dealers in 2024. We’ve even begun to see improvement in some unlikely places like California.

While rates are still high in California, more insurance companies have opened back up for business there.

That means many insurance buyers are seeing multiple competitive rates for the first time in a while. All this in one of the more challenging markets in the country.

New York remains a difficult insurance market, which impacts the embedded opportunity. However, much of the rest of the Northeast is trending in a positive direction.

Embedded auto insurance opportunity rising from mixed in Q3 2023 to healthy in Q3 2024, with a map of opportunity by state

Back-End Gross Represents 59% of the Total Gross Profit for Dealership Auto Sales in Q3

Line chart: front-end gross falling from about $3,200 in Q4 2021 to about $1,300 in Q3 2024 while back-end gross holds near $1,900

Over the last quarter, the average front-end gross continued to stagnate and even decline slightly to an average of $1,304 per transaction, a 21% YOY decline.

Back-end gross remained steady at $1,854 over the past 12 months. It now contributes an average 59% of the per vehicle gross profits.

The trend line is clear. Back-end is more important than ever, and dealers will become more reliant on it for profitability than they have in years.

Donut chart: 59% of total profit is from back-end gross, 41% from front-end gross

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Share of total dealership profit from back-end and front-end gross, Q3 2024
Source of profitShare of total profit
Back-end gross59%
Front-end gross41%

From Polly’s Q3 2024 Quarterly Embedded Auto Insurance Report.

Insurance and Back-End Gross Improvement Across Top 10 Dealerships

In our Q2 report, our top 10 dealer groups saw higher F&I gross to the tune of 20%. That number dropped slightly in Q3 to 18%.

This slight decline was largely a function of normal retail spending fluctuations.

Bar chart: average back-end gross per deal for 10 franchise dealer groups, with insurance quotes lifting back-end gross 18% overall and from 7% to 43% by group

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F&I gross lift with insurance quotes at 10 franchise dealer groups, Q3 2024
Dealer groupBack-end gross lift with insurance quotes
All+18%
Group 1+43%
Group 2+35%
Group 3+28%
Group 4+19%
Group 5+18%
Group 6+17%
Group 7+13%
Group 8+11%
Group 9+8%
Group 10+7%

From Polly’s Q3 2024 Quarterly Embedded Auto Insurance Report.

18% Higher F&I Gross Profit with Insurance Quotes at our Top 10 Most Engaged Dealer Groups

When customers received auto insurance quotes at our top 10 most engaged dealerships, those dealers saw 18% higher back-end gross profit on average than dealers who did not offer insurance quotes at the point of sale.

+18% higher F&I gross profit with insurance quotes at the top 10 most engaged dealer groups

View the data behind this chart
Average back-end gross with and without insurance quotes, Q3 2024
MeasureValue
Average back-end gross with insurance quotes$2,329
Average back-end gross without insurance quotes$1,975
Difference+$354
Lift+18%

From Polly’s Q3 2024 Quarterly Embedded Auto Insurance Report.

In Q3, the average back-end gross for sales with quotes was $2,329, or $354 higher than the $1,975 average without quotes.

Predictions for Q4 2024

The embedded insurance opportunity will continue to improve into 2025.

Insurance shopping activity will continue until consumers realize that the market has stabilized.

Sophisticated insurance companies will continue to open up for new auto insurance business, even in tough states like California.

Calculating the total cost of ownership, and insurance in particular, will become the norm for car shoppers and dealers.

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